基于2002-2012年数据研究表明,我国省域高新技术产业发展差距以2004年为界出现“先扩大后减小”的趋势。三地带和八地区分解均表明,地带(区)间差距是全域内部差距的主要来源。在影响因素中,反映区域资源禀赋和历史条件的地区固有因素的影响最为显著,相对贡献率呈现微弱增长态势,其次为经济基础和开放度。考察年度内区域经济基础和工业化水平的相对贡献率呈下降趋势,市场化程度和创新能力的影响相对上升,开放度的相对贡献率变化较为平缓。
Based on the data of 2002-2012, the paper shows that the gap of provincial high-tech industry development in China bad the trend of "first increased and then decreased" with the inflection point in 2004. The gap among zones (areas) was the main source of global inequality. Regional natural factors were the most significant and its the relative contribution rate showed a weak growth. The relative contribution of economy foundation and industrialization rate also had downward trend. The relative contribution of marketization and the innovation ability raised.