中文摘要：

在Mann-Kendall方法基础上对1978 年以来中国经济发展进行突变点分析。结合传统数理统计方法及空间分析模型，在ArcGIS、GeoDA 等软件支持下，以省级行政区为研究单元，以人均GDP 为测度指标，从时间、空间、关联性、驱动因子等视角对改革开放以来我国经济发展状况进行深入分析。结果表明：我国经济总体呈快速发展趋势，东中西部发展差异显著，但总体差异逐步减小；我国经济空间分布呈现出东北- 西南格局，主半轴方向上表现为收缩趋势，辅半轴方向上则为波动扩张格局；我国经济发展高水平区不断增多，低水平区不断减少，最终消失，总体经济水平得到显著提高；根据关联性分析得出扩散型主要集中于东部地区，坍塌型主要分布于中部地区，东西差异依旧明显；改革开放以来推动我国经济发展主要是以消费为主、投资为辅的“双轮驱动”逐步转向由投资、出口、消费协调推动，区域协调发展势头良好。

英文摘要：

Though a point mutation analysis on the China’s economic develop-ment since 1978 on the basis of the Mann-Kendall method. Combining traditionalmethods of mathematical statistics and spatial analysis model, in the supportof ArcGIS, GeoDa, we studied on China’s economic development. The resultsshowed that: the rapid development of Chinese economy showed a rapid developmenttrend overall, but there are significant difference between east, centraland western regions, although the difference gradually reduced; China's economyshowing the spatial distribution of northeast - southwest pattern. Directionof the main axle performed a contraction trend, and direction of the auxiliaryaxle performed a fluctuate and expand pattern. The high level of economicdevelopment zones are increasing, and its lowest level area are declining,and eventually disappear, the economic of our country has been significantly improved; According to association analysis, the diffusion mainly concentratedin the eastern region, the collapse is mainly distributed in thecentral region, differences between East and West still exist; China's economicdevelopment is primarily a consumption-based, supplemented by "wheeled"gradually shifted from investment, exports, consumption driven coordination,the regional development have a coordinated momentum.