中文摘要：

借助于典型自相关模型分析，将众多变量归纳为少数几个综合变量，并分别就这些综合变量进行系统阐述。影响研究区土地利用变化的社会经济因素可以归纳为：人口增长、产业结构调整、工业发展与城镇化等综合指标，并分别对各不同影响因素进行阐述。在自然因素方面，咸水入侵与土地利用结构特征及其变化方向具有相关性，它是可以综合反映自然驱动因素的代表性因子。

英文摘要：

Being the most seriously infected area by salt water intrusion in China, southern Laizhou Bay has a more complicated land use/coverage change and driving mechanism. In order to extract the main driving factors, the author practiced the classic correlation analysis. So in socioeconomic aspect, population increase, industry structure adjustment, and the development of industry and urbanization are summarized. In natural condition, the salt water intrusion is pinpointed, which has an accordant process with the trend of land use structure change. Each factor is dwelled on separately.