为了检验中尺度区域大气模式在中国高原复杂下垫面区域气候模拟中的适用性,文中采用该模式在40余种不同的初始参数条件下模拟了1991年6月20日至7月20日黑河区域的近地面辐射收支平衡和空气温度。并分析了中尺度区域大气模式应用于中国西北部大起伏地形和高原地区复杂下垫面(HEIFE)的模拟能力。结果表明,在仅使用NCEP再分析资料、探空资料和常规地面观测资料(RAMS标准输入),而不根据当地特征调整区域大气模式初始参数的情况下,对近地面层的辐射收支和空气温度具有一定的模拟能力,但可能引发较大的误差;特别是地面向上长波辐射通量和2 m空气温度,其模拟结果与实测结果相差甚远。只有合理地调整模式的初始参数,主要是初始土壤层的温度和湿度,才能得到与实测资料符合良好的结果;而要进一步地模拟出这些物理量在复杂天气情况下的细致变化,则需要把土壤深度扩大到4 m左右,并使用较为可靠的数据初始化垂直非均匀的土壤湿度。
Meso-scale atmospheric models have been extensively used in numerical weather prediction, regional climate research, and disastrous weather research. With the expansion of the applied area of atmospheric models, the higher and higher degree of precision is required. To meet the requirement, much research work has been done, such as 4-D variation assimilation, assimilation of weather satellite data and meteorological radar data, and so on. However, while paying respect to those new techniques, the model runners often ignore adjusting initial model parameters of topography, agrology, and hydrology, which might exert a crucial influence to the numerical simulation results. To demonstrate the impact of those initial model parameters, and display how to use meso-scale atmospheric models correctly, we simulated the weather of HEIFE region using RAMS with the initial surface characteristic data from USGS (U. S. Geological Survey), and adjusted only initial model parameters of topography, agrology, and hydrology and the related parameterization schemes. Based on the results of numerical simulations of the radiation balance and ground layer air temperature in HEIFE region during the periods from 20 June, 1991 to 20 July, 1991 with more than 40 different sets of initial parameters, the applicability of the regional atmospheric model system, RAMS, in northwest China, which is characterized by complicated topography and diversiform underlying surface, is demonstrated. The results show that the RAMS has moderate capability in numerical simulations of radiation fluxes and ground layer air temperature in HEIFE region even if given only the standard input data (the NCEP gridded reanalysis data file, upper air observations file, and surface observations file) required, but the errors of the results under this condition might be apparent in some cases. In fact, we found that when compared with observation data, intolerable errors always occurred if we concerned the results of upward long wave radiation and 2 m air tempera