在对我国农业补贴政策的实施现状进行分析的基础上,通过构建投入产出模型,对我国粮食直接补贴政策和最低收购价政策所产生的影响分别进行了模拟分析。结果表明,粮食直接补贴政策的实施会对农业内部产生较大的影响,而对其他部门的影响相对较弱;粮食最低收购价政策的实施,会对农业部门内部的畜牧业的影响较大,并且更多地是直接影响;在对非农业部门的影响中,对化学工业的影响最大,其中既有直接影响又有间接影响。
This paper firstly analyzes the whole implement effects and tendencies of agricultural subsidies. Then use input - output model to simulate the effect on the other department of agricultural subsidy policy. Through input - output model analysis, we find the agricultural subsidy effect on agricultural department price is strong, but the effect on the other department of is low. The effect of minimum guarantee price policy to agricultural department is direct, and the strongest effect is farming; the effect of minimum guarantee price policy to other department is both direct and indirect, the strongest effect is chemistry industry.