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样本量对MaxEnt模型预测物种分布精度和稳定性的影响
  • ISSN号:1001-7488
  • 期刊名称:林业科学
  • 时间:2012
  • 页码:53-59
  • 分类:S757[农业科学—森林经理学;农业科学—林学]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国林业科学研究院资源信息研究所,北京100091, [2]中国林业科学研究院热带林业实验中心,凭祥532600
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(31170588); 科技部社会公益研究专项(2005DIB5J142)
  • 相关项目:基于物种分布预测模型的适应性群团抽样理论与方法研究
中文摘要:

以实际调查的4个物种的34个不同样本量(5,6,8,10,15,20,25,30,40,50,60,70,80,90,100,120,150,180,200,220,250,300,350,400,450,500,550,600,650,700,800,900,1000,1200)为例,模拟计算分析不同的样本量对MaxEnt物种分布模型的精度和稳定性的影响。结果表明:总体上来看,样本量的大小对MaxEnt模型预测物种空间分布的精度影响不大,在样本量较小时,精度不稳定,随着样本量的增大(训练数据在样本量50左右,检验数据在样本量120左右),MaxEnt模型的预测精度越来越稳定。

英文摘要:

Prediction of species distribution and its changes play more and more important roles in the fields of ecological protection and application as well as global climate changes. It is impracticable to survey species distribution in large area, especially rare species. Considering that very few species distribution data have been accumulated, employ species distribution model fitting technique is highly necessary in the process of predicting species distribution. Sampling size has an important influence on expense of actual survey and accuracy of model prediction. In terms of accuracy of species distribution model and expense of forest survey, it is necessary to investigate the least sampling size when species distribution models reach the most accuracy. Thirty-four different sampling sizes(5, 6, 8, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 120, 150, 180, 200, 220, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, 500, 550, 600, 650, 700, 800, 900, 1 000 and 1 200) of four species were used to simulate the influence of different sample sizes on the precision and stability of MaxEnt species distribution model. The results showed that sampling sizes had no obvious influence on MaxEnt. The accuracy of MaxEnt was unstable when sampling size was small, but as sampling size was increasing(sampling size of training data was about 50, test data was about 120), the accuracy was more stable.

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期刊信息
  • 《林业科学》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国科协
  • 主办单位:中国林学会
  • 主编:尹伟伦
  • 地址:北京万寿山后中国林学会
  • 邮编:100091
  • 邮箱:lykx@vip.sina.com
  • 电话:010-62889820
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1001-7488
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1908/S
  • 邮发代号:82-6
  • 获奖情况:
  • 在三届"国家期刊奖"评选中,两次荣获中国期刊最高奖-"国家期刊奖",一次名列"国家期刊奖提名奖"第一名
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  • 俄罗斯文摘杂志,美国化学文摘(网络版),英国农业与生物科学研究中心文摘,波兰哥白尼索引,美国工程索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,英国动物学记录,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:42472