以可持续发展理论为基础,运用物质减量反弹效应的方法,给出了工业废水排放量变化的密度效应和增长效应计算公式,并根据1991—2004年《中国统计年鉴》中公布的数据,对全国工业废水排放量变化的密度效应和增长效应进行了计量分析。结果表明,1997年以前,密度效应比增长效应作用明显,全国工业废水排放量呈现下降趋势;1997年以后,增长效应比密度效应作用明显,全国工业废水排放量呈现上升趋势,特别是近3年增长显著。
Based on sustainable development theory, with the study on the dematerialization rebound effect, formula that calculating density effect and increase effect of the variation of discharge amount of industrial wastewater was given, and the quantitative analysis on the said two effects was also made based on the data which were announced in the China Statistics Yearbooks from 1991 - 2004. The results demonstrated that the density effect was more obvious than the increase effect before the year 1997, the trend of industrial wastewater discharge amount of our country was descended; on the contrary, it was increasing after the year 1997, especially in recent three years, because the increase effect was more obvious than the density effect.