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农村劳动力回流的影响因素分析——以广东省云浮市为例
  • ISSN号:1001-5221
  • 期刊名称:《热带地理》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F241[经济管理—劳动经济;经济管理—国民经济]
  • 作者机构:[1]中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州510275, [2]中山大学港澳珠三角研究中心,广州510275
  • 相关基金:基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40871066;41101129);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(08JJD820170)
中文摘要:

改革开放以来,中国大规模的人口流动对资源的优化配置和经济快速发展产生了深远的影响。然而,中国的农村劳动力流动正逐渐从单向转变为城乡双向流动的格局,这一变化无疑将深刻影响我国农村地区的发展前景。文中采用对广东省云浮市农户的调查数据,通过构建Logistic模型,从农村外出劳动力个体行为决策的视角探讨农村劳动力回流的影响因素。实证研究表明:人力资本较低,年龄偏大,家庭儿童数量较多、老人数量较少和已婚的外出劳动力回流的可能性较大;而外出务工时间对回流概率的影响呈倒u型分布;家乡的非农就业机会与村庄的区位因素也显著影响了劳动力的回流决策,家乡就业机会越多,距离县城越近的村庄,其劳动力越有可能回流;而家庭人均耕地面积与性别变量的影响不显著。

英文摘要:

Mass migration movements from countryside to city have exerted an enormous influence on allocation of resources and economic development in China since Reform and Opening-Up. At present, the pattern of the movements has changed from unidirectional flow between cities and countryside to bidirectional, that will profoundly produce influence to the prospect of economic development in rural China. Establishing a Logistic model for employment behavior of rural labor with the data from peasant-household- survey in Yunfu, Guangdong, the paper explores the determinants of the return migration from cities. The result of the empirical study shows that those people who are of older ages, have lower human resource, more children and have been married have bigger possibility of return. And the effect of out-migration time on the probability of return presents a converse-U-shape distribution. Moreover, the chances of finding a job at hometown and the location of the village also exert influence over migration workers' decision about returning home. Those migration workers whose hometown has more employment opportunity and whose village is closer to county town have bigger possibility of return. The variables of gender and per capita arable land have no significant effect on returning home.

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期刊信息
  • 《热带地理》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:广东省科学院
  • 主办单位:广州地理研究所
  • 主编:黄光庆
  • 地址:广州市先烈中路100号大院广州地理研究所
  • 邮编:510070
  • 邮箱:bjb@gdas.ac.cn;rddl@periodicals.net.cn
  • 电话:020-37656954
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1001-5221
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:44-1209/N
  • 邮发代号:
  • 获奖情况:
  • 中国科技核心期刊,中国学术期刊综合评价数据库源刊,广东省优秀科技期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国剑桥科学文摘,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 被引量:10328