中文摘要：

为探究人口规模、收入水平、消费倾向、节能政策和技术等因素对中国城镇生活能源消费的影响,基于拓展的STIRPAT模型并运用2000～2013年中国省际面板数据对各影响因素的效应进行评估。结果显示：城镇生活能源强度、城镇居民消费倾向、人均可支配收入、城镇化率、总人口、政策综合力度6个因素的增长率每变化1%,将会引起城镇生活能源消费量增长率0.9322%、0.8537%、（0.559 2＋0.169 2 ln DI）%、0.599 8%、0.408 0%、-0.012 0%的变化,表明除节能政策外,其余5因素均正向促进城镇生活能耗增长。其中生活能源强度对城镇生活能耗影响最大,节能政策虽会抑制城镇生活能耗增长,但作用较为微弱。政府需继续加强节能政策综合实施力度,从而实现生活能源消费领域的节能减排。

英文摘要：

To explore the effects of population, income level, policy and technology on Chinese urban household energy consumption, based on the extension of STIRPAT model, we assess the effects of factors using provincial panel data of China from 2000 to 2013. The results showed that： 1% changes in the growth rate of urban life energy intensity, urban residents consumption, per capita disposable income, urbanization rate, total population, and comprehensive policy efforts may cause 0. 932 2%, 0. 853 7%, 0. 559 2%, 0. 599 8%, 0. 408 0%, and -0. 0120% changes in the growth rate of urban household energy consumption. In addition to the negative effect of energy conservation policy, the other five factors have a positive effect on the growth of household energy consumption. Among them, the energy intensity of life has the greatest impact on the urban household energy consumption, while the government＇ s energy policy has inhibitory action in the growth of urban household energy consumption, although it＇ s weak. The government should continue to strengthen the implementation of energy conservation policies, so as to achieve energy-saving emission reduction in the field of domestic energy consumption.