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中文摘要：
应急响应目标的可满足性评估对应急响应的实施具有重要指导作用，针对应急响应目标可满足性存在不确定性的问题，提出一种在“情景-应对”模式下能够对目标可满足性进行评估的方法．该方法在证据理论框架下，首先基于信度结构构建目标可满足性表示模型，在表示模型的基础上，文章结合情景，采用信度规则推理出叶子目标的可满足性．然后提出改进的OWA算子用以计算目标分解权重，进而采用证据融合算法评估高层目标的可满足性，评估结果可为决策者提供理论依据．最后，采用算例验证了方法的有效性，结果表明，该方法能够兼顾目标间的作用关系，其评估结果能较好地与人的主观直觉判断相一致．
英文摘要：
The assessment of goals satisfiability of emergency response is important for the implement of emergency response. An assessment methodology is proposed to solve the problem that the goals satisfiability is difficult to assess because of uncertainty under the pattern of scenario-response. On the ground of DS evidence theory framework, belief function theory is used to build the goals satisfiability representation model. Basis on this, belief rules are used to reasoning the satisfiability of leaf goals based oil scenarios. With different scenarios, different values of leaf goals could be obtained. And then a method for improving traditional OWA operators is put forward in order to compute the weights. Then evidence combination algorithm is used to assess the satisfiability of high-level goals according to the satisfiabi｜ity of leaf goals, and the conclusion of assessment can provide theoretic foundation for decision makers. Finally, the result of example indicates that the interactive effects of goals satisfiability could be paid attention to and the assessment result of this method is well consistent with the person＇s subjective intuition.
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