中文摘要：

产业结构的优化调整是解决当前经济高速发展与减缓碳排放之间深层次矛盾的有效手段。为测算产业结构变动所产生的低碳效应,本文基于可持续发展理论和2007年投入产出数据,在宏观层面上构建了一个包含2个目标函数和75个约束条件的投入产出多目标规划模型,定量分析了碳排放约束下经济与环境协调发展的可能性。实证分析的结果表明：产业结构调整作为碳减排的手段在一定范围内依然有效,论文据此提出了中国应该重点发展、鼓励发展、控制发展以及需要限制发展的行业;论文同时指出,仅通过产业调整难以实现碳减排目标,提高能源效率、促进技术进步和关键链的低碳化管理,也是不容忽视的碳减排路径。

英文摘要：

Industrial structure optimization is widely regarded as an effective way of solving the deep-seated contradictions between the rapid economic development and the mitigation of carbon emissions.In order to calculate the carbon emission reductions caused by industrial restructuring,this paper built an input-output model of multi-objective at the macro level including two objections and seventy-five constrains,based on the theory of sustainable development and the dates from 2007 input-output table.Then this issue quantitatively analyzed the possibility of economic and environmental coordination development with the carbon emission constraints by this model.The empirical analysis result shows that：the adjustment of industrial structure is still a valid way of carbon emission reductions within a certain range,according to this,the paper put forward the industries whose development should be put focused on,should be encouraged,should be controlled and need to be limited in China;the paper also pointed out that it is difficult to achieve the carbon emission reductions target by industrial restructuring only,and improving energy efficiency,promoting technological progress and the low-carbon management of the key chains are also efficiency ways of carbon emission reduction which should not be ignored.