中文摘要：

随着可持续发展概念的提出，国内外学者对可持续发展指标体系做出了大量的研究。但是这些指标体系大多数并没有对短期内经济的高速增长是否会对可持续发展状态产生影响做出回答。针对我国近年来经济的高速增长。本文提出的一个新问题即是我国可持续发展的风险问题。选取衡量可持续发展的经济类指标——真实进步指标（GPI）刚对我国的可持续发展是否存在风险进行预警评估．通过计算我国1994—2005年间的GPI值。并将其与我国同期的GDP值进行比较。得出了我国的经济发展具有较好的可持续性的结果。以此为依据对我国可持续发展状况进行预警评估．提出了应继续提高居民收入，扩大基础设施投资。缓解城乡分配不均。进一步不断提高经济增长的质量。以提高我国的可持续发展能力。

英文摘要：

Academicians have done a great deal research on the indicators about sustainable development along with the concept of sustainable development has been propounded. Most of these indicators didn＇t answer the question that whether the fast increase in economic in a shortterm time will affect the state of sustainable development or not. Aiming at the fast increaseing rate of economic in China, we point out a new issue, the risk of sustainable development for China. We choose an economic indicator Genuine Progress Indicator（GPI） to estimate if there are some risks in our sustainable development. By calculating the GPI of China, and comparing with the GDP of China between 1994 and 2005, we can get a conclusion that the econmy of China is sustainable. Under this indicator we estimate the situation of sustainable development for China in early wanting. To enhance the capabitity of sustainable development, what we propose is to increase earning of the resident, relax the contradiction between city and villege, etc.