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中文摘要：
以实际旅游总收入、实际第三产业总值、实际地区生产总值作为衡量山西省旅游经济、第三产业、国民经济发展水平的基础指标,综合运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验等计量分析方法研究了1984—2013年来山西省旅游经济与第三产业、旅游经济与国民经济之间的动态关系。结果显示,山西旅游经济与第三产业、旅游经济与国民经济之间存在长期的协整关系、短期波动的反向修正机制及单向因果关系。研究结论为山西省制定经济转型和产业转型政策提供了理论参考。
英文摘要：
Taking the actual total receipts of tourism, the actual gross of tertiary industry, the actual GDP as the basic indicators to measure the development level of tourism economy, tertiary industry, national economy in Shanxi province, synthetically using methods of econometric analysis that Unit Root Test, Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test, etc., researched the dynamic relationships between tourism economy and tertiary industry, between tourism economy and national economy in Shanxi Province from1984 ~2013. The results show that, there are long-term co-integration relationships, reverse correction mechanisms for short-term fluctuations and one-way causal relationship between tourism economy and tertiary industry, between tourism economy and national economy in Shanxi province. The conclusions of this research can provide theoretical references for the transformation of economy and industry in Shanxi Province.
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