中文摘要：

针对现有离婚率研究时间、空间割裂,整体性探讨不足及实证研究缺乏的问题,该文运用空间自相关、空间马尔可夫链等空间统计方法对中国大陆各省域1979—2012年离婚率数据的时空分布及趋同演变进行了研究,结果发现：除东北、西北地区离婚率一直居高不下之外,中国大陆高离婚率地区逐步向中部延伸并聚集,离婚率存在着较强的空间自相关且空间聚集现象明显;省域离婚率的＂两极分化＂现象和＂俱乐部趋同＂现象均经历了由弱到强再减弱的波动变化趋势。

英文摘要：

Aiming at the problem that the study on divorce rates usually separates time and space,lacks the study view of the whole China,and is short of empirical research,this paper discussed the spatial-temporal patterns and convergence evolution of divorce rates by the methods of ESDA such as spatial autocorrelation and spatial Markov chain,and based on the data of divorce rates at provincial level in China from 1979 to 2012.The results showed that on the overall distribution of space,the higher divorce rates gradually transferred to central areas,besides two always high-divorce-rate areas-northeast areas and northwest areas;meanwhile,the divorce rates showed a strong trend of spatial correlation and the similar units clustered in space;the phenomenon of Polarization and Club Convergence of divorce rates all showed a weak-strong-weak trend.