文章利用官方统计资料构建长汀的面板数据集,基于森林转型路径理论,采用面板数据模型的广义可行最小二乘法与随机效应估计方法研究长汀实现森林转型的主要影响因素,探索长汀森林转型所遵循的路径。研究表明,长汀的森林转型遵循经济增长与政策路径,促进植被恢复的政策如水土保持治理,直接促进了森林面积的增长,而经济发展则减轻了林农生活和生计对森林资源的依赖,为森林的恢复与增长提供了坚实的基础与良好的外部环境。
Changting in Fujian province is a typical region of forest transition in China. The study on Changting can on one hand provide useful information for other regions, on the other hand this can promote discussions on forest transition pathway theory. This study builds a dataset using official statistics, based on forest transition path- way theory and using FGLS and random effects methods for panel data, to explore the main factors that affect for- est transition in Changting and the pathways Changting follows. This research indicates that, forest traalsition in Changting follows economic development and policy pathways. Refbrestation pathway directly promote the in- crease of forest area while economic development provides a solid foundation and favorable environment for refor- estation by reducing foresters' livelihood dependence on forest resources.