文章运用1980—2007年相关数据,就影响中国出口商品结构升级的因素进行了实证研究。文章认为:产业结构、外商直接投资、要素禀赋状况、技术水平以及贸易开放度均为影响中国出口商品结构升级的主要因素。国内产业结构仍然是影响中国对外贸易结构升级的最重要因素;外商直接投资和技术水平对提升中国出口商品结构有显著正效应;贸易开放度越高,越有利于出口商品结构升级;对要素投入比率进行分析,发现中国目前的出口贸易结构尚处于从劳动密集型向资本密集型的转变时期。最后提出了促进中国出口贸易结构升级的政策建议。
This paper analyzes the relative statistics of 1980 -2006 and makes an empirical study of the facport structure. Domestic industry structure is still an important factor in the upgrading of Chinese foreign trade structure. Foreign direct investment and technical level put significant positive effects on enhancing the export structure. The higher the degree of trade openness is, the more conducive to the upgrading of export commodity structure. Through analyzing the factor endowments ratio, it finds that the current export structure is still in the period of transition, which from labor - intensive to capital - intensive. At last, the paper concludes with some political suggestions on the promotion