农业机械化是农业现代化的一项重要内容。利用江汉平原和洞庭湖平原5个县的302份农户调查问卷,运用二项Logistic回归模型,分析了影响粮食主产区农户农业机械投入意愿的因素。研究表明:户主文化程度、年龄,农户家庭人口数、耕地经营规模、农户人均收入及对农机购置补贴政策的了解情况是影响农户农业机械投入意愿的主要因素;其中,户主文化程度、耕地经营规模、农户家庭人口数和农户人均收入对农户农业机械投入意愿有正的影响,户主年龄、对农机购置补贴政策了解情况对农户农业机械投入意愿有负的影响。因此,为了促进现阶段的农业现代化,应积极开展农村科普教育、促进耕地规模经营、加强政策补贴力度。
Agricultural mechanization was an important part of the modernization of agriculture.The willingness and the influential factors of agricultural machinery input of 302 households in main grain producing area of 5 countries in Jianghan Plain and Dongting Lake Plain by binary Logistic regression model were analyzed.The result revealed that the educational level,the age,family members,the land scale,the per-capita income and farmers' understanding of subsidization about buying agricultural machinery were all the main factors that influenced the willingness of agricultural machinery input.Furthermore,the educational level,family members,the land scale and the per-capita income had a positive influence on the agricultural machinery input while the other two factors just exerted negative effect.Therefore,in order to realize agricultural modernization at this stage,it was necessary to promote scientific education,encourage farmers to develop land scale operation and strengthen the subsidization policy about agricultural machinery.