中文摘要：

文章依据1994—2012年入境旅游数据,运用统计分析方法,探究入境游客在中国区域分布的动态变化规律及其趋势,同时厘清了入境游客在7大区域分布和省级区域分布之间的动态脉络和关系。研究发现：（1）外国游客、港澳游客和台湾游客在中国7大区域的分布目前已经出现了较为稳定的相同变化趋势：中国北边以华北为中心呈现比重下降的趋势,中国南边以华南为中心呈现比重下降的趋势,其他5大区域均出现了不同程度的比重上升趋势;（2）华北、东北、华南、西南和西北均包括了具有主导效应的代表省区,华中的代表省区和其他两个省区对华中具有几乎相同的效应,而华东的7省区对华东具有相对复杂的综合效应;（3）外国游客、港澳游客和台湾游客在中国省级区域的分布已经出现以＂北京、上海和广东＂为核心的下降趋势状况。该文额外针对入境游客在中国区域单位比重的异常变化进行了定量研讨,同时给出了入境游客在中国区域2012年的空间分布格局及趋势。

英文摘要：

China has a vast area and rich tourism resources. China’s provinces can be divided geographically into seven regions based on specific tourist flow characteristics. Based on the application of statistical analysis to inbound tourism data from 1994 to 2012, this paper probes the temporal dynamic laws and future trends in the distributions of inbound tourists in the seven identified regions. Then, the paper clarifies the dynamic relationships between the distributions of inbound tourists in the seven regions, and selects specific provinces whose distributions of inbound tourists are representative of the region to which they belong. Finally, the temporal dynamics law and future trends in the distributions of inbound tourists in China’s provincial regions are analyzed. The spatial distributions and future trends of inbound tourists in China’s seven regions and provinces for 2012 are also displayed.The findings are as follows.（1） The distributions of foreign tourists, tourists from Hong Kong and Macau, and tourists from Taiwan appeared stable and largely exhibited a similar trend： In the north of the country only Northern China shows a proportional decline, with the four adjoining regions（Northeast China, Eastern China, Central China and Northwest China） all showing rises of different degrees. Meanwhile, Southern China was the only region to show a proportional decline, while the three adjoining regions（Eastern China, Central China and Southwest China） all show rising trends with different proportional values.（2） Northern China, Northeast China, Southern China, Southwest China and Northwest China all include representative provinces, being the provinces that are leaders in tourism in these five regions. The representative provinces are, respectively, Beijing, Liaoning,Guangdong, ＂Sichuan- Chongqing- Yunnan＂（a multi- province grouping） and Shaanxi. The representative province for Central China（Henan） and the other two provinces of central China all share almost equal influence. More