中文摘要：

判断我国汽车产业“以市场换技术”策略成效如何，可以通过对行业全要素生产率的测量予以回答。为了克服传统（宏观）方法估计行业全要素生产率的不足，本文从微观角度，利用汽车企业数据完成了对汽车行业全要素生产率的测量，并通过面板固定效应法、Olley＆Pakes法与Levinsohn＆Petrin法等多种方法的横向比较，得出较为一致的结论。结果显示，1999—2007年我国汽车行业整体全要素生产率明显提升，细分为各控股类型、各子行业研究亦是如此；国有控股汽车企业全要素生产率整体低于非国有控股汽车企业，但由于上升较快，逐步与非国有控股企业趋同。由此说明，“以市场换技术”策略已取得实效，汽车产业正从“引进-吸收-消化”向“创新-超越”转型，继续加强技术研发，构筑中国汽车国际竞争力成为产业发展的主要路径。

英文摘要：

To estimate the effect of ＂Exchange market for technology＂ strategy in our country＇ s automobile industry, we can measure the industry total factor productivity （TFP） to get the results. In order to overcome the shortages of traditional （ macro ） method which estimates industry TFP, this paper is originally based on the micro point of view, using car company＇s data to complete the measurement of auto industry TFP. To ensure the reliability of the results, the author contrasted different kinds of methods, by means of the horizontal comparison of the panel fixed effect method, Olley ＆ Pakes method and Levinsohn ＆ Petrin method, and finally draws the same conclusion. The measuring results showed that during 1999 -2007, China＇ s automobile industry TFP had increased significantly overall, subdivision for the holding type, the sub - industry was the same; the TFP of the state - owned automobile enterprise is lower than that of non - state - owned holding auto enterprise, but with a rapid increase, the convergence between them gradually became more and more obvious. This showed that for a long time the automobile industry development strategy of ＂Exchange market for technology＂ has made the actual effect, and China＇ s automobile enterprises are changing from ＂introduce - absorption - digestion＂ to ＂ innovation - surpass＂ phase, continuing to strengthen technology research and development, constructing the international competitiveness of China＇ s automobile industry become the main path in the industry development.