首先依据美国滑雪旅游资源评估指标,以黑龙江、吉林省为对比地区分析了新疆滑雪旅游资源优势,认为新疆滑雪旅游资源优于黑龙江、吉林省。其次运用旅游市场竞争态分析了滑雪旅游市场发展态势,1997—2002年处于幼童市场,2003—2005处于明星市场,2006年处于现金牛市场。在此基础上,通过曲线拟合预测未来5年新疆滑雪旅游市场的发展趋势,并提出建议。
Based on the technical appraisal of skiing tourism resources, the advantages of skiing tourism resources in Xinjiang were analyzed and compared with Jilin and Heilongjiang. The results showed that skiing resources in Xinjiang was better than Jilin and Heilongjiang. The analysis of the competition form of skiing tourism market showed that the market was Child - market from 1997 to 2002, Star - market from 2003 to 2005, Cash - market in 2006. On the basis of that, the curve fitting method was used to forecast the development trend of skiing tourists in next five years.