针对新疆塔里木河流域干旱缺水、生态环境脆弱等问题,本文在分析流域水资源开发利用现状的基础上,提出了水资源合理配置的思路、原则和供水优先次序;制定了塔河干流流域水资源分配的网络节点图;建立了以缺水量最小为目标的水资源优化配置模型,采用仿真优化算法对模型求解。设置了七种不同配置情景,通过成果分析与比较,推荐了两个规划水平年水资源合理配置方案,推荐方案均达到了保证率的要求。本研究成果可为实现塔里木河流域水资源总量控制、合理配置提供科技支承,也可为内陆干旱地区水资源的合理配置提供参考。
Aiming at a solution to the Tarim River basin's drought, fragile ecological environment, and other issues, this paper analyzes its existing conditions of water resources development and utilization, then proposes ideas for its rational allocation of water resources and principles and priorities of water supply and develops a figure of water distribution network nodes. We established a model for optimal allocation of water resources that minimizes the total shortage of water, using an optimization algorithm for solution of the model. Seven scenarios of different configurations were examined, and by a comparison of their results we recommended two water resources allocation schemes for two target years of planning respectively, satisfying the requirements of guaranteed rate. This study is a technical support to achieving global control and reasonable allocation of the water resources in the Tarim river basin, and would also be useful for water resources allocation in other arid regions.