当前流动人口中有不愿返乡,而在城市寻求工作的失业群体。基于“2014年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查”数据,失业流动人口特征突出表现为相对年轻、学历偏低,外出具有盲目性,生活容易陷入困境,其中农业户籍失业流动人口更为明显。在失业分布上,流动人口失业率低于城镇居民,男性低于女性,已婚低于单身,15—24年龄段失业严重,农业户籍流动人口高于非农户籍,而且还有知识失业和高龄失业风险。从失业的成因来看,非农户籍流动人口失业概率要高,家庭化迁移提高了流动人口失业概率,文化程度对降低流动人口失业概率作用偏低,流入地区市场化程度或人口规模降低了流动人口失业概率,但市场化程度对农业户籍流动人口的作用要高于非农户籍流动人口。据此提出了降低流动人口失业概率的建议。
There are unemployed migrant currently who do not want to return home, seeking work in the city. Based on the"2014 National migrant Health and family planning dynamic mo- nitoring survey" data, this paper find that unemployed characterized by "outstanding performance for the relative young, low education, having to go out blindness, troubled life easier, and Agricultural household unemployed migrants are more visible. On the distribution of unemployed, the migrant unemployment rate is lower than urban residents, women less than men, married less than a single, 15 -24 age serious unemployment. Agricultural migrant is higher than the non - agricultural migrant, and have the risks of knowledge unemployment and old age unemployment. From the causes of unemployment this paper find, that non - agricultural migrant is more likely unemployed, that family migration increases the probability of being unemployed, that the effect of the education to reduce unemployed is low. And this paper also find that regional markets degree or size reduces the probability of being unemployed migrants, but the effect of market degree to agricultural migrants is higher than non - agricultural migrants. Then this paper make suggestions to reduce the probability of unemployed.