本文在政府支出影响居民消费的理论框架下,建立了我国政府教育支出与居民教育投入之间的回归模型,并采用30个省份2000-2009年的面板数据对政府教育支出的挤入挤出效应进行了实证分析。结果表明:政府教育支出对于城镇居民的教育投入影响不显著,对于农村居民的教育投入影响显著。其中政府的义务教育经费对农村居民教育支出具有显著的挤出效应,以中西部的表现最明显;而政府的高中教育经费对于农村居民教育支出具有显著的挤入效应。
Based on the theoretical framework of the government actions affecting private consumption behavior, this paper establishes a regression model of the effect of fiscal education expenditure on resident education input, using the panel data of China's 30 provinces from 2000 to 2009. The results show that the effect of fiscal education expenditure on urban residents is not significant, however, which is significant on rural residents. The fiscal expenditure on compulsory education has significant crowding out effect on education expenditure of rural residents, especially in the central and western regions. Whilethe high school fiscal expenditure has significant crowd-in effect.