中文摘要：

针对古（老）滑坡，选取地貌特征（包括地形坡度、沟谷切割状况、洼地封闭状况、前缘临空状况）、滑面特征（包括滑面倾角、滑面形态、滑面阻抗比）、滑体结构和近期活动迹象4大类9个指标作为潜在滑坡的判识指标，然后依据Fisher判别分析的理论和方法，建立了潜在滑坡的Fisher判识模型。实例分析结果表明，Fisher判别方法预测准确率高达100％，回判估计的误判率仅为5％，是一种有效的潜在滑坡判识方法。

英文摘要：

Aiming at ancient （old） landslides, four kinds of discrimination indexes which included nine secondary indexes for potential landslides, such as landform character, slip surface character, landslide body structure and recent activities characters, were presented. Then according to Fisher Discrimination theory, Fisher Discrimination model for the potential landslides was built. The results show that prediction accuracy rate of the method was as high as 100%, and resubstitution error rate was only 5 %, which verified that Fisher Discriminant method is an effective method in identifying potential landslides.