城镇化的协调发展是我国新型城镇化战略核心,也是国家主体功能规划的重要内容。本文在对1982-2013年我国城市城镇人口(含常住人口)、建成区面积、二三产业生产总值数据分析的基础上,构建了人口城镇化、土地城镇化及经济城镇化三者之间的关系模型,综合K值法和协调性指数这两种方法,从时间和空间角度对三者的协调性进行定量定性分析。研究表明:1982-2013年我国城镇化水平持续平稳增长,城镇化失调逐渐显现,人口城镇化与土地城镇化交替领先,且两者均滞后于经济城镇化;从空间分布看,各区域城镇化协调性分异明显,协调性呈现西高东低态势,且东北三省城镇化失调现象最为严重。
Coordinated development of urbanization is the core of our new urbanization strategy, and also the important content of the planning of national main functions. Based on the date analysis of the urban population (including the permanent resident population), the built-up area, the total output value of secondary industry and the tertiary industry, this paper builds up a relationship model of the population urbanization, the land urbanization, and the economic urbanization. Using the methods of K value and coordination index, this paper conducts quantitative and qualitative analysis on the coordination of the three aspects from the time sequence and spatial dimensions. Studies show that: From 1982 to 2012, China's urbanization level continuously grows, the urbanization imbalance gradually emerges, and the population urbanization and land urbanization take the leading position alternately, both of which are lagging behind the economic urbanization; From the spatial distribution perspective, there are obvious differences on the coordination of the development of regional urbanization. The coordination level is high in the eastern region and low in the western region, and the urbanization imbalance level is the most serious in the three provinces in the northeast region.