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中文摘要：
利用中国1990～2008年全国层面和1995～2008年省级层面的数据,分别采用LMDI因素分解法和动态面板的GMM估计方法,对中国人口老龄化与碳排放之间的关系进行了考察。全国层面的因素分解结果表明,老龄化是中国近年来人均碳排放增加的重要原因。动态面板模型的估计结果表明,老龄化与碳排放之间存在显著的倒U型曲线关系。对老龄化不同影响渠道的研究则表明,当前老龄化主要是通过生产渠道对碳排放的增加产生促进作用,而消费渠道的影响很不明显。
英文摘要：
Based on the national data from 1990-2008 and provisional data from 1995-2008,through the method of LMDI decomposition and dynamic panel data analysis,the authors investigate the relationship between the aging of Chinese population and carbon dioxide emission.The decomposition results show that,the aging of population is one of main factors which contribute to the increase of Chinese carbon dioxide emission.The results from the dynamic panel estimation show that,there is a significant inverse U relationship between aging level and carbon emission intensity.By means of the researches on different influence channels,the authors find that the production is the principal affecting channel of aging,and the effect of consumption channel is faint.
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