中文摘要：

进入21世纪以来,中国出现人口城镇化速度明显滞后于土地城镇化速度,即城镇化“地与人”非协调发展问题。与此同时,以“非正式财力偏好”为特征的地方政府投融资行为亦有愈演愈烈之势。本文在考察地方政府投融资行为对城镇化非协调发展的影响机制基础上,通过获取2001-2014年的省际面板数据,从时空整合视角出发,综合运用基本面板数据模型和动态空间面板数据模型,对地方政府投融资行为对于城镇化发展的影响方向、路径以及实际效果进行了实证检验。研究结果表明,地方政府投融资行为对土地城镇化发展的推动作用要远大于对人口城镇化发展,对城镇化协调发展有显著的负向影响以及空间外溢效应。

英文摘要：

Since the beginning of 21＂t century, the speed of population urbanization lags behind the land urbanization, which means the uncoordinated development of urbanization in land and population. Meanwhile, the local government investment and financing behavior is getting worse with the characteristics of informal financial preference. On the basis of the inspection for the effect of government＇ s investment and financing behavior on the uncoordinated development of urbanization, this paper takes on an empirical test on the influence direction, path and actual effect of the government＇ s investment and financing behavior to the development of urbanization by using the provincial panel data from 2001 to 2014, panel data model and dynamic spatial panel data model. The results show that the impact of government＇ investment behavior on prompting urbanization is obviously on land than on population. It also has a negative and spatial spillover effect on the coordinated development of urbanization. Thus, government＇ s investment and financing behavior is a main factor that leading to the uncoordinated development of urbanization.