随着城市化进程不断加快和城市社会经济快速发展,城市面临着水资源短缺、水环境恶化、水文物破坏、防洪排涝等一系列城市水问题,严重制约了城市社会经济的发展,引起了社会的广泛关注。文章通过残差修正灰色模型,选取城市水利和社会经济评价指标,对城市水利与社会经济协调发展趋势进行实证分析、预测。文章针对目前城市水利与社会经济协调发展过程中存在的现代水利意识薄弱、城市水利功能不足、社会经济发展的掣肘等问题,提出了提高城市水利科技创新能力、完善城市治水保障体系、深化城市水利管理体制改革等有效措施与对策,促进城市水利与社会经济协调发展。
With the accelerating process of urbanization and the increasing development of the urban social economy, the city is facing a series of urban water issues, such as a shortage of water resources, the deterioration of water environment, the destruction of the water heritage, the flood control&drainage, which seriously hampers the development of the urban social economy and draws a socially widespread attention. Through the gray model of residual modification, this article selects the assessment criteria of the urban water conservancy and the social economy to empirically analyze and forecast the coordinately developing trend. To the lack of the modern water conservation awareness, the insufficiency of the modern urban water conservancy and the constraints of social economic development, etc. the article puts forward some effective countermeasures, such as improving the science and technology innovation of the urban water conservancy, making the urban flood protection system perfect, deepening the urban water management system, to improve the coordinated development of the city water resources and social economy.