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交叉上市、管理层盈利预测与自愿披露信息效应
  • ISSN号:1005-0892
  • 期刊名称:《当代财经》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F275[经济管理—企业管理;经济管理—国民经济]
  • 作者机构:中南财经政法大学会计学院,湖北武汉430073
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目“管理层盈利预测信息披露的偏误动因与监管研究”(71302193)
作者: 操巍
中文摘要:

管理层自愿披露的盈利预测信息相比历史会计信息具有更高的相关性和信息含量。以2008—2015年自愿披露盈利预测信息的公司为研究样本,首次将交叉上市与盈利预测信息的自愿披露行为相结合进行实证研究。研究结果一方面确认了普通公司发布盈利预测信息的信号发送作用,同时验证了交叉上市公司自愿披露盈利预测信息的“双重信号”发送机制,另一方面也证实了盈利预测信息在资本市场分割与一体化进程中所体现的价值。实证检验结果发现:交叉上市公司比普通公司更倾向于发布盈利预测信息,发布的盈利预测信息的准确度更高,降低融资成本的效果更加显著;此外,交叉上市公司发布盈利预测信息显著影响了不同市场间的股价溢酬方向,但都增加了交叉上市公司的价值,即交叉上市同时具有融资效应和上市效应。

英文摘要:

Compared to the historic accounting information, the profit forecast information dis- dosed voluntarily by the management has higher relevance and richer information contents. Taking the companies that voluntarily disclosed earnings forecast information from 2008 to 2015 as the research samples, this paper conducts an empirical study of the cross listing combined with the voluntary dis- closure behavior of profit forecast information for the first time. The results of the study have con- firmed the signal transmission function of the profit forecast information disclosed by the ordinary companies, and at the same time verified the "double signal" transmission mechanism of the cross-listed company' s voluntary disclosure of the profit forecast information. On the other hand, it has also confirmed the value of the profit forecast information embodied in the process of the capital market segmentation and integration. The results of the empirical tests show that compared to the or- dinary companies, the cross-listed companies are more inclined to publish earnings forecast informa- tion; the published earnings forecast information has higher accuracy, and the effect of lowering fi- nancing costs is more significant. In addition, the earnings forecast information released by the cross-listed companies can significantly affect the direction of stock price risk premium between differ- ent markets, while all of them have increased the value of the cross-listed companies, that is, the cross-listing can have both the financing effect and listing effect simultaneously.

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期刊信息
  • 《当代财经》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:江西财经大学
  • 主办单位:江西财经大学
  • 主编:蒋金法
  • 地址:南昌市双港东大街168号
  • 邮编:330013
  • 邮箱:cfe@jxufe.edu.cn
  • 电话:0791-3816904
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1005-0892
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:36-1030/F
  • 邮发代号:44-61
  • 获奖情况:
  • 2001年入选道届中国期刊方阵,被评为“双效期刊”2...,连续6年入选 CSSCI(中国社会科学引文索引来源期刊),全国中文核心期刊、华东地区优秀期刊、中国经济类...
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:26229