2000年以来,我国能源强度出现了波动这一新现象。本文运用完全分解模型对这一现象进行分解分析,得出如下结论:(1)2000—2007年,我国能源强度波动及第二产业能源强度波动中,强度效应占主导作用,结构效应作用较小。其中,第二产业对我国能源强度波动影响最大,而制造业对第二产业能源强度波动起主导作用。(2)产业结构变动对能源强度波动的影响较小,2000—2002年降低了能源强度,2002年-2007年增加了能源强度。
Energy intensity is fluctuating in China since 2000,which is new phenomenon. The paper makes decomposition analysis on the fluctuations in energy intensity based on a complete decomposition model. Results show intensity effect dominates during the fluctuations of energy intensity in nation and the secondary industry, while structural effect does less; The secondary industry plays a major role in the the fluctuations of national energy intensity, and manufacturing sector dominates during the fluctuations of energy intensity of the secondary industry. And the structure of industries affects the fluctuations in energy intensity less,duing 2000-2002 decreasing the energy intensity,while increasing it during 2002-2007.