我国经济景气在2015年第2季度止跌企稳,之后可能在“偏冷”区内下部保持大体平稳的运行态势。在“稳增长”的政策作用下,短期内经济景气再次降温进入“过冷”区间的可能性较小。预测2015年GDP增长6.9%左右,CPI上涨率为1.4%左右,经济增长和物价波动继续呈现新常态下的“微波化”特征。
The economic climate has stopped downward trend since 2015 Q2 and is expected to keep roughly stable in the "partial cold"range.Influenced by the policy of keeping the stable growth of the economy, it is unlikely oriented downwards and step into the "cold" state in a short time.The annual growth rates of GDP and inflation are expected to be around 6.9% and 1.4% respectively in 2015. Economic and inflation cycle would be also featured with wavelet in the "new normal" stage.