基于江西省调研数据,运用二元Logistic回归模型对林改后影响林农林地流转因素的分析,结果显示:户主的自身特征对林地流转无显著性影响;林农的社会资本禀赋对林地流转影响也不显著;林农的经济资源禀赋对林地流转因素影响显著;林农的行为变量及政策因素对林地流转也不具显著性影响。协方差分析表明:林改的主体政策对林地流转的积极影响有限。或者说,在明晰产权的之后,林地流转并未取得令人满意的绩效,应该加以积极推进。
On the basis of Jiangxi province cases, then uses the binary logistic regression model to analyze. It conclude that: firstly, foresters' characteristic has no significant effect on circulation of woodland and farmland; secondly, social capital endowment of foresters has indistinctive impact on circulation of forester and woodland as well; thirdly, economic resource endowment of foresters significantly affects factors of woodland circulation; last, both forester behavior variables and related policy and institutional factors have non-significant effects on circulation of foresters and woodland. Covariance analysis shows that: its main policy on the positive influence of circulation of forest land, after clarifying property right, land transfer did not achieve satisfactory performance.