中文摘要：

为深入剖析非常规突发事件中引起个体非理性行为的认知心理,基于系统动力学（SD）原理,运用Vensim软件模拟仿真在不确定、不可预测前景下,各因素对风险直觉偏差影响的动态演化过程。构建个体风险直觉偏差影响因素系统模型。结果表明：面对不确定状态的非常规突发事件,个体相关知识经验丰富会抑制风险直觉偏差;随着风险感知程度的提高,个体信息处理能力、适应能力、安全感、心理健康水平逐渐降低,导致风险知觉偏差逐渐增大。

英文摘要：

In order to further explore the individual irrationality of cognitive psychology in unconventional emergencies,a system model of factors affecting individual risk intuition deviation was built based on principle of SD. The software Vensim was used to simulate the dynamic influence of main affecting factors on risk of intuition deviation in the uncertain and unpredictable future. The results show that in the face of unconventional emergencies,one＇s knowledge and experience have inhibitory effects on individual risk intuition deviation,and that improvement of one＇s risk perception,results in a gradual decrease in individual information processing ability,adaptability,security,and mental health level,which has a bad effect on one＇s risk perception deviation.