本文提出要在工业化背景下理解中国的能源消耗与节能减排,并着重分析了中国工业化进程中的能耗特征及能效提升途径。研究结果表明,20世纪后20年期间,中国以低能耗支撑了经济高增长,但这只是暂时现象,是由多种非结构性因素综合作用的结果。而进入新世纪以来,中国的单位GDP能耗呈现上升趋势,这与工业化进程的加速有关。从长期来看,中国工业化进程中的能源消耗仍将遵循工业化中能源消耗的一般规律。未来中国能源效率提升的政策途径应该从产业结构、能源结构、技术进步、能源价格、区域经济、能源资源合理开发利用等多方面展开。
In this paper, we study on features of energy consumption and policies for improving energy efficiency in Chinese industrialization. We found that from 1980 to 2000,it's the lower energy consumption that supports China's economy to grow rapidly. But this is only a temporary phenomenon, resulted from multi non-configuration factors' collaborative function. Since late of 1990s, China's energy consumption has been rising, it has much relation with the acceleration of industrialization. From long term's view, China's energy consumption will still follow the general rules of energy consump- tion during industrialization process. In the future, China should implement some policies to upgrade energy efficiency, including industrial restructuring, energy structure, technical progress, energy price, regional economy, reasonable development and utilization of energy resource, and so on.