构建了考虑地区经济空间溢出以及产业集聚—城市化非线性关系的半参数空间滞后模型,探讨了产业集聚、所有制结构对城市化的协同影响。结果表明:过高的国有产值比重显著抑制地区的城市化进程;随着产业集聚程度的不断深化,产业集聚对我国城市化的推动作用将逐渐减弱,同时,所有制结构也会弱化产业集聚对城市化的正向作用;当前上海、广东等发达地区产业集聚经济效应难以弥补过度拥挤效应对城市化所产生的负作用。要想加快地区的城市化进程,各地区不仅要深化国有企业改革,还需因地制宜地推进产业集聚。
This paper constructs a semi-parametric spatial lag model which considering regional economic space overflow and the relationship between industrial agglomeration and nonlinear urbanization, so as to investigate the synergistic impact of industry concentration and ownership structure on urbanization. The results show that the higher proportion of the state-owned output value can inhibit the process of regional urbanization significantly. With the deepening of industrial agglomeration, the positive impact of industrial clustering on promoting China's urbanization will gradually wear off; at the same time, the ownership structure would undermine the positive impact of industry agglomeration on urbanization. The economic efficiency of industrial agglomeration in Shanghai, Guangdong Province and other developed areas currently is difficult to make up for the negative impact on urbanization caused by the overcrowding effect. Therefore, in order to speed up the process of the regional urbanization, each region has to not only further reform the state-owned enterprises, but also actively promote the development of local industrial agglomeration according to the local conditions.