中文摘要：

短时强降水作为强对流的一种天气现象，是宿迁市较为常见的灾害性天气之一，常常对工农业生产、交通航运、建筑设施等造成影响。然而，预报一直是难点，因此如何利用现有的气象资料，开展短时强降水预报服务，并形成日常业务流程，对提高预报预警和防灾减灾能力十分重要。本文利用自动站逐时雨量资料、Micaps高低空和地面资料、NECP1°×1°的再分析资料和T213数值预报产品，基于VisualBasic语言开发了宿迁市短时强降水历史个例查询与潜势预报平台，以提高短时强降水预报质量，减少或避免气象灾害给社会经济造成的损失。

英文摘要：

As a strong convective weather, the severe short-range precipitation is far more common disaster weather in Suqian. It has an effect on the industry and agriculture, the transportation and ship-ping or the buildings. However, the forecast of the severe short-range precipitation is always difficult. It is important to improve the forecasting and warning ability or to prevent disaster in order to provide the prediction services of the severe short-range precipitation and set up routine operational flew chart by u-sing the existing meteorological data. Based on Visual Basic, the hourly rainfall data from automatic sta- tions, Micaps data, NECP 1°×1 ° reanalysis data and T213 numerical forecast product were used to de-velop the platform for historical case inquiry and potential trend forecast of the severe short-range precipi-tation in Suqian. The purpose is to improve prediction quality of the severe short-range precipitation and reduce the economic loss of meteorological disaster.