为提高对多突发事件耦合交通紧急程度预警的关注度,初步以火灾和爆炸这两个突发事件耦合为例,采用头脑风暴、德尔菲法、聚类分析、层次分析法结合的方法,并借助MATLAB软件,制定城市火灾和爆炸突发事件耦合交通预警指标系统,为及时有效的做出多突发事件耦合交通预警和后续的应急工作提供理论基础.
For the sake of improving the attention on the prediction of traffic urgency degree under multi-emergency coupling conditions,taking fire disaster and blast coupling accidents as examples,brain storming method,Delphi method,cluster analysis,Analytic Hierarchy Process and MATLAB were used together to draw up relevant traffic early-warning indicator system.The result provides theoretical foundation for dealing with the traffic early-warning and emergence of multi-emergency coupling more effectively.