改革开放30多年来,中国经济持续快速增长,被国内外学者称为“中国奇迹”,但在这种繁荣发展的大背景下,贵州省仍处于整体贫困落后的状态,其中工业化、城镇化相对滞后和发展不协调是重要原因。作者通过计量分析,着重探讨了工业化、城镇化与贵州转型发展的内在关系,以及贵州转型发展对于工业化、城镇化和科技进步的要求。研究指出:工业化与城镇化具有良性互动关系,贵州省要实现到2020年全面建成小康社会的发展目标,必须以较高速率推进新型工业化和城镇化,促进二者之间的协同发展,为贵州经济增长提供强劲而持久的动力。同时,作者提出要通过强化内生性自主创新能力、优化劳动力在三次产业中的布局,为贵州经济社会发展提供充足的人力资本和科技创新支撑,走出一条创新能力强、技术含量高、经济效益好、环境污染少的贵州特色转型发展道路。
After reform and opening up, China's economy continues to expand rapidly,but Guizhou province is still in the overall poverty and backwardness, the industrialization and urbanization relatively lag is an important reason. In this article, through econometric analysis, authors emphatically discuss the intrinsic relations of industrialization and urbanization with the transformation development in Guizhou, and the requirement that transformation development in Guizhou to industrialization, urbanization and science and technology progress. The research suggests that there is a benign interaction between industrialization and urbanization. If we want to build a well-off society in an all-round way in Guizhou in 2020, we must promote the new industrialization and urbanization at a higher rate, promote the collaborative development between them, and provide strong and lasting power for the economic growth in Guizhou. At the same time, we must strengthen the endogenous capacity of independent innovation, optimize the layout of labor in the third industry, providing plenty support of human capital and innovation of science and technology for the economic and social development in Guizhou. And then, build a characteristic transformation development road in Guizhou with strong innovation ability, high technical content, good economic benefit and less environmental pollution.