升降舞台结构方案选择中存在着大量的模糊和主观因素.在分析现有评价方法的基础上,尝试运用可能性理论处理舞台结构方案中蕴含的不确定性信息,提出了一种新的基于可能性分布、结合熵值赋权的模糊综合决策方法.通过考虑影响评价的各种来源和形式的信息,将专家知识转化为对变量取值的弹性约束,引入可能性分布表征升降舞台结构方案选择问题中包含的模糊因素,构造出相应的方案集和评价指标体系,建立了可以进行模糊推理和决策的评价模型;应用模糊变换原理,对评价系统各层次指标依次判别,并采用一种主客观组合的赋权方式进行权重分配,在单因素基础上形成综合判断.阐述了求解原理和实施步骤,并通过实例分析比较说明了该法的可行性.
There exist a large variety of fuzzy and subjective factors in structural concepts selection of lifting platform. Referring to previous methods, a new possibility-distribution-based fuzzy decisionmaking approach is proposed, integrating entropy with hybrid weighting method and attempting to deal with uncertain information by possibility theory. With a view to uncertain information stems from diversified sources and forms, experts' opinions were first translated into elastic restrictions refined to fuzzy variables, and then the notion of possibility distribution was introduced to token existent fuzzy factors involved in concepts selection of platform structures. A comprehensive model for reasoning and evaluating was next constructed corresponding to given options and indexes, combining objective weighting strategy with subjective one in a natural way. The assessment principles and steps were presented in turn on the basis of several single-factor considerations. Example resulting in three different cases shows that the proposed approach is feasible in principle and practicable for interrelated enterprise. Lastly, some relevant issues were discussed summarily, including applied expansibility of information entropy, modification of weight, inverse problem of comprehensive assessment and utility of evaluation, etc.