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基于降水蒸发指数的1960-2015年内蒙古干旱时空特征
  • ISSN号:1002-6819
  • 期刊名称:《农业工程学报》
  • 分类:TP79[自动化与计算机技术—控制科学与工程;自动化与计算机技术—检测技术与自动化装置]
  • 作者机构:中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京100193
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(41475104,41271053);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(41401048)
中文摘要:

内蒙古地区农业以草原畜牧业和旱作农业为主,容易受到自然灾害,特别是干旱的影响。在气候变化的背景下,研究该地区干旱时空格局特征,对当地采取适应气候变化对策具有重要意义。为了明确内蒙古地区不同时间尺度干旱特征及其对气候变化的响应,该文选取1960-2015年内蒙古地区46个气象站点逐月气象观测数据,计算不同时间尺度标准化降水蒸散指数SPEI,结合Mann-Kendall检验、经验正交函数(empirical orthogonal function,EOF)分解、旋转经验正交函数(rotated empirical orthogonal function,REOF)分解、干旱评价指标等方法,分析了内蒙古地区56 a来干旱时空格局特征,讨论了干旱特征与太平洋年代际震荡(pacific decadal oscillation,PDO)指数的关系。结果表明:从时间变化来看,内蒙古地区干旱逐渐减轻,1976年发生突变;四季均呈变湿趋势,春季显著;全区干旱强度基本为轻旱和中旱,主要为局域性干旱和全域性干旱。从空间分布来看,内蒙古地区整体上呈西部干旱缓解、东部干旱加剧的趋势;夏季整体干旱显著加重,秋季次之,春季和冬季以减轻为主。按照干旱区域敏感性强弱可将内蒙古地区分为西部区(I区)、中部区(II区)、东北部北区(III区)和东北部南区(IV区),其中I、II区干旱逐渐减轻,III、IV区呈偏干趋势。56 a来SPEI与PDO指数存在同相位关系,PDO指数冷相位时,内蒙古地区全区偏干,反之则偏湿。研究结果可为内蒙古地区水热状况的科学评估及干旱的监测预警和防灾减灾提供理论依据。

英文摘要:

Grassland animal husbandry and rainfed farming are two pillar industries in Inner Mongolia agriculture, and they are vulnerable to natural disasters, especially drought. Analysis of spatio-temporal distribution of drought characteristics in Inner Mongolia is important for local government to tackle climate change. In order to define the spatiotemporal distribution of drought characteristics and its response to climate change in Inner Mongolia at different time scales, monthly data from 46 meteorological stations for the period 1960-2015 were selected in this study, including monthly sunshine hours, wind speed at 10 m height, mean temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, station pressure and so on. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI) was established using precipitation and potential evapotranspiration(ET0) data at different time scales, in which ET0 was calculated by FAO Penman-Monteith equation instead of Thornthwaite formula. In order to find out the drought characteristics, Mann-Kendall test, drought indices, climate tendency rate, empirical orthogonal function(EOF) analysis and rotated empirical orthogonal function(REOF) analysis were carried out on the precipitation, ET0 and SPEI. Considering of the pacific decadal oscillation(PDO), the correlation of SPEI with PDO index in Inner Mongolia was also discussed. The results of this research showed that from the inter-annual changes, it showed a humid trend with an abrupt change in 1976 in Inner Mongolia. On the other hand, from the seasonal perspective, it was getting wet in spring(P〈0.05) and winter, and there was a drought trend in summer and autumn. The drought coverage appeared as the features of the local and domain drought at the annual scale, and the intensity of drought were light and moderate mainly. Spatially, the western regions had a humid trend, but it was drier in the eastern part of Inner Mongolia on the contrary. Most regions were getting dry in sum

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期刊信息
  • 《农业工程学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国科学技术协会
  • 主办单位:中国农业工程学会
  • 主编:朱明
  • 地址:北京朝阳区麦子店街41号
  • 邮编:100125
  • 邮箱:tcsae@tcsae.org
  • 电话:010-59197076 59197077 59197078
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1002-6819
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-2047/S
  • 邮发代号:18-57
  • 获奖情况:
  • 百种中国杰出学术期刊,中国精品科技期刊,中国科协精品科技期刊工程项目期刊,RCCSE中国权威学术期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 俄罗斯文摘杂志,美国化学文摘(网络版),英国农业与生物科学研究中心文摘,荷兰文摘与引文数据库,美国工程索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),英国食品科技文摘,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:93231