中文摘要：

中国的“产业互促悖论”是指，伴随世界工业和服务业关联程度日益增强，世界的经济服务化日益明显：而伴随中国工业和服务业的互动增强。中国工业化却阻碍本国服务业发展的现象。本文主要基于1995、1997、2000、2002、2005、2007年和2010年非竞争型投入产出表，分离了中国工业和服务业的总关联和国内关联。研究发现：包括国内和国外关联的中国第二、三产业总关联，远远大于剔除进口中间投入作用的国内关联；时序上，中国第二、三产业总关联不断增强，而产业间的国内关联强度呈先下降后上升趋势；产业间的国内关联和总关联偏差持续扩大。说明中国式工业化是建立在世界发达国家高级生产性服务业高度发展和制造业生产的非一体化基础之上。对国内生产性服务业具有阻碍作用。但近几年．这种阻碍中国经济服务化的力量有趋于减弱迹象。本文研究对中国调整产业结构和全球化战略具有重要而明确的政策涵义：打造中国经济升级版，有必要谋求制造业和服务业保持平衡发展．也应适时扬弃出口导向型发展战略，转而实施基于内需的全球化战略．发展创新型经济。

英文摘要：

Using China＇s non-competition input-output tables from 1995 to 2010, the article,for the first time, calculates and separates China＇s total industry linkages and domestic industry linkages. And we find, the full dependence indices between the secondary and tertiary industries in China including the domestic and foreign linkage, is much higher than the dependence indices of domestic industries which excluding the effect of import intermediate input. From the time series＇ perspective, the full dependence indices between the Chinese secondary and tertiary industries strengthened, the domestic industry linkages decreased at the beginning then increased later. The deviation between China＇s total industry linkages and domestic industry linkages widened all the time. It means Chinese-style industrialization is built on the basis of both the highly advanced producer service industrials and the non-integration of manufacture industrials of western developed countries,which has hindered domestic producer services industrials. In this paper, this is also called ＂China＇s paradox on industry mutually promote trend＂. To solve the problems of China＇s industrial association failure on the service industry development and upgrade the Chinese economy, it＇s necessary to maintain balanced growth of manufactures and services industrials, abandon export-oriented strategy timely,and focus on globalization strategy based on domestic demand, encourage and develop innovation economy.