文章基于经济增长收敛理论,从区域合作视角,展开服务业发展收敛性研究。包括阐释服务业发展收敛的内涵、与经济增长收敛的关联、服务业发展的收敛机制,以及分析服务业发展收敛的模型与指标选择,并最终运用所构建的方法,对CEPA实施后大珠江三角洲的金融业收敛性进行了实证检验。结果显示,2004―2008年该区域金融业发展呈发散趋势。这一结果与近年来以其他方法与指标检验金融收敛性得出的结论基本一致,证实了基于经济增长收敛理论及分析模型的服务业发展收敛研究思路与分析模型具有可信性与可行性,亦从一个侧面对大珠三角金融合作的成效作出了评判。
With the theory of economic growth convergence, the paper tries to research the service industrial development convergence from the angle of regional cooperation. As the thought of regional cooperation aims at reducing the gap among the regions, we link sevice industry development convergence to the regional cooperation, and take the outcome of convergence analysis as the foundation for judging regional cooperation, describe the concept of convergence on service industry development, and illustrate the correlation between economic growth convergence and service industrial development convergence. Furthermore, we figure out the convergence mechanism and put forward a model to verify the industrial development convergence. With the indexes used in the model, we test the convergence of the financial sector in the Greater Pearl River Delta(GPRD), a region that has long history in industrial cooperation. The result shows a divergence trend in the testing period. The result is basically in accord with the conclusions from the research by other methods.