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Interpretation of Climate Change and Agricultural Adaptations by Local Household Farmers:a Case Study at Bin County, Northeast China
  • ISSN号:1671-511X
  • 期刊名称:《东南大学学报:哲学社会科学版》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:S96[农业科学—水产养殖;农业科学—水产科学] P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]Key Laboratory of Agri-Informatics, Ministry of Agriculture/Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, P.R.China, [2]Geography and Planning School of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, P.R.China, [3]Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1087, The Netherlands, [4]Remote Sensing Technique Center, Heilongjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Harbin 150086, P.R.China, [5]Environment and Production Technology Division, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C. 20006, USA
  • 相关基金:financed by the National Basic Research Program of China(2010CB951504);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41271112 and 40930101);the National Nonprofit Institute Research Grant of CAAS(IARRP-2014-16)
中文摘要:

Although climate change impacts and agricultural adaptations have been studied extensively,how smallholder farmers perceive climate change and adapt their agricultural activities is poorly understood.Survey-based data(presents farmers’personal perceptions and adaptations to climate change)associated with external biophysical-socioeconomic data(presents real-world climate change)were used to develop a farmer-centered framework to explore climate change impacts and agricultural adaptations at a local level.A case study at Bin County(1980s-2010s),Northeast China,suggested that increased annual average temperature(0.6°C per decade)and decreased annual precipitation(46 mm per decade,both from meteorological datasets)were correctly perceived by 76 and 66.9%,respectively,of farmers from the survey,and that a longer growing season was confirmed by 70%of them.These reasonably correct perceptions enabled local farmers to make appropriate adaptations to cope with climate change:Longer season alternative varieties were found for maize and rice,which led to a significant yield increase for both crops.The longer season also affected crop choice:More farmers selected maize instead of soybean,as implicated from survey results by a large increase in the maize growing area.Comparing warming-related factors,we found that precipitation and agricultural disasters were the least likely causes for farmers’agricultural decisions.As a result,crop and variety selection,rather than disaster prevention and infrastructure improvement,was the most common ways for farmers to adapt to the notable warming trend in the study region.

英文摘要:

Although climate change impacts and agricultural adaptations have been studied extensively, how smallholder farmers perceive climate change and adapt their agricultural activities is poorly understood. Survey-based data (presents farmers' personal perceptions and adaptations to climate change) associated with external biophysical-socioeconomic data (presents real-world climate change) were used to develop a farmer-centered framework to explore climate change impacts and agricultural adaptations at a local level. A case study at Bin County (1980s-2010s), Northeast China, suggested that increased annual average temperature (0.6°C per decade) and decreased annual precipitation (46 mm per decade, both from meteorological datasets) were correctly perceived by 76 and 66.9%, respectively, of farmers from the survey, and that a longer growing season was conifrmed by 70%of them. These reasonably correct perceptions enabled local farmers to make appropriate adaptations to cope with climate change:Longer season alternative varieties were found for maize and rice, which led to a signiifcant yield increase for both crops. The longer season also affected crop choice:More farmers selected maize instead of soybean, as implicated from survey results by a large increase in the maize growing area. Comparing warming-related factors, we found that precipitation and agricultural disasters were the least likely causes for farmers' agricultural decisions. As a result, crop and variety selection, rather than disaster prevention and infrastructure improvement, was the most common ways for farmers to adapt to the notable warming trend in the study region.

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期刊信息
  • 《东南大学学报:哲学社会科学版》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国教育部
  • 主办单位:东南大学
  • 主编:徐嘉
  • 地址:南京四牌楼2号
  • 邮编:210096
  • 邮箱:skxbzf@163.com
  • 电话:025-83791190 83795426
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1671-511X
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:32-1517/C
  • 邮发代号:28-269
  • 获奖情况:
  • 2002年-2004年获评第一、二届“江苏省期刊方阵优...,2006年获评“全国百强社科学报”和“全国优秀主编”,2009年获“江苏省期刊明珠奖·特色栏目奖”,2010年获评“全国高校三十佳社科期刊”,2011年获评教育部“名栏工程”
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:9699