本文从信任演化的角度出发,以产业集群规模为研究对象,建立了基于信任和企业进入退出机制的演化模型,并利用计算机辅助语言,研究不同进入壁垒的集群规模演化的规律。结果发现,由于信任机制和进入壁垒对集群企业竞争与合作的调节作用,集群规模的演化呈现一定的规律性,演化过程可区分为生长、淘汰、震荡和稳定四个阶段,演化曲线呈倒“S”型,稳定成熟期规模的大小与进入壁垒的高低有关,且进入壁垒对企业进入和生存作用相反。
An evolutionary game model, which is based on the trust evolution and enterprise's entry and exit, is presented to study the trends of cluster's scale with different entry barrier by computer simulation. It is found that cluster evolution can be divided into four stages: growth, shakeout, adjustment and mature, because of the coordination of trust and entry barrier on competition and cooperation. The shape of the curve is an fallen-S. The stable size has inverse ratio with its entry barrier. Also entry barrier has opposite effects on enterprisers entry and survival.