从消费角度出发,分别对2003和2012年中国城镇(不含港、澳、台地区)居民碳排放的特征及影响因素进行分析。结果显示,不同地区城镇居民碳排放存在明显差异,人口因素对区域分异有弱化作用。从城镇居民人均碳排放来看,不同地区消费构成、能源结构、产业结构3因素对城镇居民碳排放影响的差异总体表现为:消费结构/能源结构〉产业结构。与其他部门相比,大多数地区工业部门的生产能耗、投入产出周转量和产品购买量是影响当地城镇居民碳排放的主要因素,各地区城镇居民碳排放的影响因素具有明显的区域特点。政府应在当前研究的基础上,根据当地能耗模式、产业模式和消费模式因地置宜管理城镇居民碳排放。
Generally the living standards of households in China have improved significantly as a result of rapid socio-economic growth. The rapid growth, especially in the urban areas has been one of the sources of carbon emissions. Therefore, the carbon emissions from the urban households should be taken into account. From the consumption point of view, the study analyzed the total, direct and indirect carbon emissions of Chinese urban households. Further, the coefficient variations of the total and per capita carbon emissions were also calculated and subsequently, adopted the structural decomposition analysis to explore the effects of energy structures, industrial structures, and consumption structures between 2003 and 2012. The results indicated that there were significant differences of carbon emissions from urban households between provinces. As compared to that of2003, the total carbon emission of the urban households has increased while the per capita carbon emission has decreased in 2012. The study revealed population as one of the main source for decreasing regional differences of carbon emission in the urban households. Most provinces with high carbon emissions of urban households could be attributed to large scale of economy. However, some provinces with small scale of economy still have relatively high carbon emissions. Overall, the provinces with high carbon emission from urban household consumption could either be attributed to its rich natural resource base or to the size of its economy. From the geographical perspective, the areas with high carbon emission from the urban households are mainly distributed in the northern provinces and coastal areas. This can be substantiated by the presence of rich coal resources in the northern areas and the presence of either heavy industries or large economy of scale in the coastal areas. Therefore, it is quite evident that the trend of carbon emission from the urban households will keep increasing given the pace of current socio-economic growth. While analyzing carbon em