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北极涡年代际变化及其与我国春季降水的关系
  • ISSN号:1006-9585
  • 期刊名称:《气候与环境研究》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P466[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
  • 作者机构:[1]国家气象中心,北京100081, [2]中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京100029, [3]空军气象中心,北京100843
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金资助项目40275016和中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目KZCX3-SW-217
中文摘要:

基于NCEP/NCAR的500hPa再分析高度场资料计算出多年北半球及各分区的极涡面积和强度,利用线性倾向估计、小波分析及二项式滑动平均分析极涡及我国春季降水的年代际变化特征,并采用奇异值分解讨论同期及前期极涡对我国春季降水的影响。各季节极涡面积及强度均存在显著的年代际变化,在20世纪70年代中期之前有上升趋势,而后出现下降的趋势;但极涡面积总体上有显著的线性变小趋势。在60年代中前期极涡位置偏向亚欧大陆,在90年代中后期极涡位置有偏向太平洋和大西洋一带趋势。我国160站平均春季降水量经历较明显的3次上升过程和4次下降过程;华南、西南地区春季降水趋势与长江流域、黄河流域呈现两种相反的分布型;在20世纪60年代中前期、90年代初及末期,长江流域、黄河流域春季降水量偏多,而在80年代末期、90年代中期及本世纪初,华南、西南地区出现偏多。在春季,若Ⅱ区(150°E-120°W)极涡面积异常大,Ⅰ区(60~150°E)、Ⅲ区(120-30°W)极涡强度异常弱,长江、黄河之间中游地区的降水出现负距平,广东、福建沿海降水出现正距平。前期冬季极涡比夏、秋季极涡对我国春季降水的影响更明显,特别是前冬北美区、大西洋欧洲区极涡面积的影响。

英文摘要:

The area size and intensity of 500 hPa north polar vortex and four quadrants are estimated based upon 54-year NCEP/NCAR reanalysis monthly mean geopotential height data. By means of linear trend estimate, Morlet wavelet analysis and binomial coefficient smooth, the interdecadal variation characteristics of north polar vortex and spring precipitation in China are studied. The results show that: 1) Seasonal average area and intensity of polar vortex exists obvious inter-decadal variation. Before the middle age of the 1970s, area size of north polar vortex trended to rise, and after that, it trended to minish, but during the size had a linear decline trend as a whole. The center of polar vortex mainly displaced towards Asia-Europe during the early and middle age of the 1960s, while trended to the Pacific and the Atlantic after the middle age of the 1990s. 2) Spring average precipitation of the 160 station in China obviously increased thrice and decreased four times. The trend of spring precipitation in South and bouthwest China is opposite to the Yangtze River and Yellow River valleys. During the early and middle age of the 1960s and in early and late period of the 1990s, the precipitation was more in the Yangtze River and Yellow River valleys, but during telophase of the 1980s, middle age of the 1990s and the beginning of the 21st century, the precipitation is more in South and Southwest China. 3) If the area of polar vortex in quadrant Ⅱ is bigger than normal, and intensity of polar vortex in quadrant Ⅰ and Ⅲ is weaker in spring, the precipitation is below the normal in the middle drainage area of between the Yangtze River and the Yellow River, and it exceeds the normal in the seaside area of Guangdong and Fujian. Polar vortex in winter influences more obviously next spring precipitation than the vortex of in summer and autumn, especially for polar vortex in North America and the Atlantic-Europe sections.

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期刊信息
  • 《气候与环境研究》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院大气物理研究所
  • 主编:李崇银
  • 地址:北京9804信箱
  • 邮编:100029
  • 邮箱:qhhj@mail.iap.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-82995048/9 82995049
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1006-9585
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3693/P
  • 邮发代号:
  • 获奖情况:
  • 中国科技论文统计分析数据库源期刊
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:11824