引入基础设施和经济制度作为自变量,建立扩展的引力模型,利用中国和东盟8国2000~2012年双边贸易的面板数据,实证分析基础设施水平和经济制度质量对贸易流量的影响。研究结果表明基础设施对贸易流量有着显著的促进作用,是距离指标和共同语言指标所包含的重要隐变量。经济制度与贸易流量显著正相关,是国际贸易的重要影响因素。中国与东盟国家之间相互连接的基础设施处于较低水平,建设高水平基础设施,加强互联互通以提高贸易便利化水平,是当务之急;经济制度差异处于促进贸易增长的临界点,亟需完善制度规则,创造更加有利于经贸合作的制度环境。
This paper establishes the extend gravity model considering the infrastructure and economic institution variable.Using the panel data of China and eight ASEAN countries of bilateral trade,the impact mechanism of infrastructure and economic institution to trade is analyzed.The empirical results show that,the level of infrastructure has a significant role in promoting trade volume,illustrating that infrastructure is an important hidden variable contained in spatial distance and common language.The economic institution has significantly positive correlation with trade flow,thus,it is one of the important factors of international trade.The level of infrastructure of China and ASEAN countries is at the lower level,therefore,the construction of advanced infrastructure and interoperability remains a priority.The difference of economic institutions is at the critical point to promote trade flow,and it urgently needs to improve the institution and rule system and to create a more conducive institutional environment for trade cooperation.