中文摘要：

台风(飓风) 的精确预言导致了极端海环境为在台风(飓风) 影响的区域的沿海的结构设计是很重要的。在飓风的联合效果在新奥尔良带给一场严重大祸的 2005 飓风卡特里娜导致了极端海环境和密西西比河的上面的洪水。Likethe 新奥尔良城市，上海在 Changjiang 河的河口区域被定位，台风的联合效果导致了极端海环境，从 ChangjiangRiver 的洪水山峰流量结合了大潮是为灾难预防设计标准的 dominate 因素。嵌套泊松的逻辑 trivariate 混合物极值分布(PNLTCEVD ) 是被把分离分布(台风发生频率) 合成建议的联合概率模型的一种新类型一连续多变量联合分布(台风导致的极端事件) 。新模型为新奥尔良和上海灾难预防设计标准给更合理的预言的结果。

英文摘要：

The accurate prediction of the typhoon （hurricane） induced extreme sea environments is very important for the coastal structure design in areas influenced by typhoon （hurricane）. In 2005 Hurricane Katrina brought a severe catastrophe in New Orleans by combined effects of hurricane induced extreme sea environments and upper flood of the Mississippi River. Like the New Orleans City, Shanghai is located at the estuarine area of the Changjiang River and the combined effect of typhoon induced extreme sea en- vironments, flood peak runoff from the Changjiang River coupled with the spring tide is the dominate factor for disaster prevention design criteria. The Poisson-nested logistic trivariate compound extreme value distribution （PNLTCEYD） is a new type of joint probability model which is proposed by compounding a discrete distribution （typhoon occurring frequency） into a continuous multivariate joint distribution （ typhoon induced extreme events）. The new model gives more reasonable predicted results for New Orleans and Shanghai disaster prevention design criteria.