本文利用我国31个省份2001-2014年旅游统计数据构建面板模型,从国家和地区两个层面对影响旅游就业的因素进行分析.结果表明:旅游企业数量和固定资产比例对旅游就业具有显著正向影响,弹性系数分别为033和039;旅游就业明显受到旅游经营季节性变化和政策影响,而个别突发灾难事件不会对旅游就业产生明显影响;人力资本的提升和旅游国际贸易的扩张会促进旅游就业,在校学生数量每提升1%,就业人数增加021%,进、 出口贸易额弹性系数分别为015和009,劳动生产率的提升会减少旅游业就业需求;受地理区位、 地区经济发展水平以及旅游资源禀赋的影响,我国三大地区旅游就业影响因素呈现出一定差异.
The paper builds a regression analysis model using panel data synthesized from the 31 provincial areas in Chi- na over the periods from 2001 to 2014 to try to identify factors which have potential effects on tourism employment at both national and regional levels. The results show that the number of tourism enterprises and the ratio of fixed assets have a significant positive impact on tourism employment, with the elastic coefficients of 0. 33 and 0. 39, respectively; tourism employment is evidently affected by the seasonal fluctuation and related government policy, but sporadic catastrophic events don't impose marked effect on tourism employment; quality of human capital and expansion of tourism related international trade sectors will facilitate the tourism employment: as the number of students in school rises by 1%, it will be able to trigger 0. 21% increase of tourism employment; import and export trade elasticity coefficient are 0. 15 and 0. 09, respectively, however, the improvement of labor productivity will reduce the demand of tourism employment; those influence factors of tourism employment vary between regions due to their heterogeneous economic development and tourism resource endowments.