本文运用演化博弈的基本理论和研究范式,从转移产业的产业类型视角对集群式转移企业与承接地政府的“转-承”行为进行理论及案例分析。结果表明:低产值-低利润产业集群式转移的演化均衡为{不转移,不承接};高产值-高利润产业集群式转移的演化均衡为{转移,承接};低产值-高利润产业集群式转移的演化均衡为{转移,不承接};对于高产值-低利润产业集群式转移,如果能在集群式转移企业与承接地政府间建立一个良好的合作机制,则可以促使均衡从{不转移,不承接}走向{转移,承接}。
The paper used the basic theory of evolutionary game and research paradigm. Based on the perspective of transferred industry type, it analyzed " transferring-bearing" behavior on clustered transfer firms and the recipient governments from theory and case. The results show that evolutionary equilibrium of low output-low profit industry clustered transfer is I don't move, don't accept t ; Evolution- ary equilibrium of high output-high profit industry clustered transfer is {move, accept}; Evolutionary equilibrium of low output-high profit industry clustered transfer is {move, don't accept} ; Industrial clustered transfer for high output-low profit, if a good cooperation mechanism between clustered transfer firms and the recipient governments could be built, evolution can prompt equilibrium from {don't move, don't accept} to {move, accept} .